Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 20:30 • Toyota Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.81 (league 1.14) 1.76 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.3% 17.2% 22.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.2%
3 - 1
6.7%
2 - 2
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Dallas 0 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 2.9% 5.1% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
2 4.1% 7.2% 6.3% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.8% 6.7% 5.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.7% 4.7% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
5 1.5% 2.7% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC DallasLos Angeles Galaxy
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack47%63%
Defense74%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Dallas Los Angeles Galaxy
HATHAT
Played161531151631
Wins31%27%29%33%0%16%
Draws19%53%35%13%44%29%
Loses50%20%35%53%56%55%

Form: FC Dallas: WDLLWWDLDWLDLLDDWLLLLDWLWDDDWWD • Los Angeles Galaxy: LLLDDLLDLLLLLDLLWDLDWWLDLLWDDLW

League goals

Metric FC Dallas Los Angeles Galaxy
HATHAT
GF total232447231841
GF avg1.41.61.51.51.11.3
GA total242751263662
GA avg1.51.81.61.72.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC DallasLos Angeles Galaxy
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%81%71%90%
1.548%45%42%61%
2.523%26%16%29%
3.56%10%3%10%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC DallasLos Angeles Galaxy
HATHAT
Clean sheets426303
Failed to score448459

Penalties

MetricFC DallasLos Angeles Galaxy
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricFC DallasLos Angeles Galaxy
Wins22
Draws32
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-44-1
Biggest losses2-45-00-47-0
Goals For3443
Goals Against4547

Model comparison

MetricFC DallasLos Angeles Galaxy
Form53%47%
Att43%57%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h80%20%
Goals69%31%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : FC Dallas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.58 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ 188Bet
No2.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Dallas = 2.81 (league 1.14), Los Angeles Galaxy = 1.76 (league 0.94)

Los Angeles Galaxy
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Dallas 0 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 2.9% 5.1% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
2 4.1% 7.2% 6.3% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.8% 6.7% 5.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.7% 4.7% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
5 1.5% 2.7% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.3% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 22.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1