Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 00:30 • Soldier Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.14) 1.79 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.4% 22.2% 39.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
8.3%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Toronto FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chicago Fire 0 3.0% 5.4% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.1% 9.2% 8.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.4% 7.9% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.5% 4.5% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChicago FireToronto FC
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack100%33%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chicago Fire Toronto FC
HATHAT
Played161632161531
Wins38%56%47%13%20%16%
Draws31%6%19%44%40%42%
Loses31%38%34%44%40%42%

Form: Chicago Fire: LDWWWDLDLLDWWLWWLLWLLDWWDWLWLWWW • Toronto FC: DLLLLDDDWLLWLWLLLDWLDWLLDDDDDDD

League goals

Metric Chicago Fire Toronto FC
HATHAT
GF total234164131831
GF avg1.42.62.00.81.21.0
GA total233356172138
GA avg1.42.11.81.11.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChicago FireToronto FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%81%68%77%
1.563%53%16%35%
2.531%22%6%6%
3.59%9%3%3%
4.56%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChicago FireToronto FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets426437
Failed to score4156410

Penalties

MetricChicago FireToronto FC
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricChicago FireToronto FC
Wins31
Draws13
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-73-01-6
Biggest losses1-37-20-24-2
Goals For3736
Goals Against3724

Model comparison

MetricChicago FireToronto FC
Form71%29%
Att78%22%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h85%15%
Goals73%27%
Total64.8%35.2%

Advice: Double chance : Chicago Fire or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.50 @ 188Bet
Away6.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.55 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chicago Fire = 1.71 (league 1.14), Toronto FC = 1.79 (league 0.94)

Toronto FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chicago Fire 0 3.0% 5.4% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.1% 9.2% 8.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.4% 7.9% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.5% 4.5% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.4% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 39.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1