Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 00:30 • Allianz Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.08 (league 1.14) 1.80 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.3% 16.0% 19.6%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.7%
2 - 1
6.5%
3 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting Kansas City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Minnesota United FC 0 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.3% 4.2% 3.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
2 3.6% 6.5% 5.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.7% 6.7% 6.0% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
4 2.8% 5.1% 4.6% 2.8% 1.2% 0.5%
5 1.7% 3.1% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMinnesota United FCSporting Kansas City
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack67%58%
Defense42%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Minnesota United FC Sporting Kansas City
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins44%50%47%25%19%22%
Draws25%38%31%25%13%19%
Loses31%13%22%50%69%59%

Form: Minnesota United FC: LWWDDWWDDLWWLWDDWLWDWWLDWLWWDWLD • Sporting Kansas City: LLLDLLWLWLWLDDDWLLWDWLDLLLLWLLLL

League goals

Metric Minnesota United FC Sporting Kansas City
HATHAT
GF total262652252146
GF avg1.61.61.61.61.31.4
GA total201737323567
GA avg1.31.11.22.02.22.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMinnesota United FCSporting Kansas City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%72%78%91%
1.550%28%41%69%
2.528%13%16%34%
3.56%3%6%13%
4.50%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMinnesota United FCSporting Kansas City
HATHAT
Clean sheets549213
Failed to score347347

Penalties

MetricMinnesota United FCSporting Kansas City
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricMinnesota United FCSporting Kansas City
Wins21
Draws23
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-34-23-5
Biggest losses0-32-02-45-2
Goals For4345
Goals Against4345

Model comparison

MetricMinnesota United FCSporting Kansas City
Form73%27%
Att53%47%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total63.7%36.3%

Advice: Double chance : Minnesota United FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ 188Bet
Draw5.25 @ Bet365
Away5.70 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Betano
Under 2.53.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Pinnacle
No2.63 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Minnesota United FC = 3.08 (league 1.14), Sporting Kansas City = 1.80 (league 0.94)

Sporting Kansas City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Minnesota United FC 0 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.3% 4.2% 3.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
2 3.6% 6.5% 5.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.7% 6.7% 6.0% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
4 2.8% 5.1% 4.6% 2.8% 1.2% 0.5%
5 1.7% 3.1% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.3% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 19.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1