Mon, Oct 6 2025 • 01:00 • BMO Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.15 (league 1.14) 0.58 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.9% 9.2% 3.9%
best score tips
3 - 0
12.5%
2 - 0
11.9%
4 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Atlanta United FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Los Angeles FC 0 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.6% 4.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.9% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.5% 7.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.9% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.2% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLos Angeles FCAtlanta United FC
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack100%38%
Defense63%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Los Angeles FC Atlanta United FC
HATHAT
Played151530161531
Wins60%40%50%25%7%16%
Draws13%40%27%44%33%39%
Loses27%20%23%31%60%45%

Form: Los Angeles FC: WWLLWLLWDDWDWDDWLWWWDLDWDLWWWW • Atlanta United FC: WLDLDWDLLLDLDLWWLLLDDDLDDLDWLDL

League goals

Metric Los Angeles FC Atlanta United FC
HATHAT
GF total28326028937
GF avg1.92.12.01.80.61.2
GA total132437282957
GA avg0.91.61.21.81.91.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLos Angeles FCAtlanta United FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%67%65%87%
1.570%37%29%61%
2.530%13%16%26%
3.513%3%10%6%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLos Angeles FCAtlanta United FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410224
Failed to score3144711

Penalties

MetricLos Angeles FCAtlanta United FC
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total74

Streaks

MetricLos Angeles FCAtlanta United FC
Wins32
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-44-20-1
Biggest losses1-25-24-54-0
Goals For4442
Goals Against3554

Model comparison

MetricLos Angeles FCAtlanta United FC
Form71%29%
Att73%27%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h50%50%
Goals36%64%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Winner : Los Angeles FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.39 @ 188Bet
Draw6.09 @ Pinnacle
Away8.80 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Betano
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ 188Bet
No2.32 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Los Angeles FC = 3.15 (league 1.14), Atlanta United FC = 0.58 (league 0.94)

Atlanta United FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Los Angeles FC 0 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.6% 4.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.9% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.5% 7.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.9% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.2% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.9% · Draw 9.2% · Away win 3.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1