Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 20:30 • Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.36 (league 1.14) 4.03 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.4% 12.9% 46.2%
best score tips
2 - 4
5.1%
2 - 3
5.1%
1 - 4
4.4%
Score & goals probability table
San Diego
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlanta United FC 0 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 1.5%
1 0.4% 1.6% 3.2% 4.3% 4.4% 3.5%
2 0.5% 1.9% 3.8% 5.1% 5.1% 4.1%
3 0.4% 1.5% 3.0% 4.0% 4.0% 3.3%
4 0.2% 0.9% 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 1.9%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlanta United FCSan Diego
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack35%35%
Defense55%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlanta United FC San Diego
HATHAT
Played151429161430
Wins27%7%17%44%71%57%
Draws40%36%38%31%0%17%
Loses33%57%45%25%29%27%

Form: Atlanta United FC: WLDLDWDLLLDLDLWWLLLDDDLDDLDWL • San Diego: WDWDLWWLLLWWWDWLWWWWLWLDWWWDWL

League goals

Metric Atlanta United FC San Diego
HATHAT
GF total27936253055
GF avg1.80.61.21.62.11.8
GA total272754162137
GA avg1.81.91.91.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlanta United FCSan Diego
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%86%80%67%
1.531%62%60%33%
2.517%28%27%20%
3.510%7%10%3%
4.50%3%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlanta United FCSan Diego
HATHAT
Clean sheets2248210
Failed to score4610426

Penalties

MetricAtlanta United FCSan Diego
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricAtlanta United FCSan Diego
Wins24
Draws31
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-15-03-5
Biggest losses4-54-01-33-0
Goals For4255
Goals Against5443

Model comparison

MetricAtlanta United FCSan Diego
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total38.8%61.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or San Diego

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ William Hill
Draw3.90 @ 188Bet
Away2.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ 188Bet
No2.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlanta United FC = 2.36 (league 1.14), San Diego = 4.03 (league 0.94)

San Diego
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlanta United FC 0 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 1.5%
1 0.4% 1.6% 3.2% 4.3% 4.4% 3.5%
2 0.5% 1.9% 3.8% 5.1% 5.1% 4.1%
3 0.4% 1.5% 3.0% 4.0% 4.0% 3.3%
4 0.2% 0.9% 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 1.9%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.4% · Draw 12.9% · Away win 46.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1