Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 02:30 • Snapdragon Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.52 (league 1.14) 1.49 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.5% 18.4% 21.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
3 - 1
7.2%
1 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
San Jose Earthquakes
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Diego 0 1.8% 2.7% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.6% 6.8% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
2 5.7% 8.6% 6.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.8% 7.2% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 3.0% 4.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan DiegoSan Jose Earthquakes
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack40%47%
Defense60%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Diego San Jose Earthquakes
HATHAT
Played161531161531
Wins44%67%55%25%33%29%
Draws31%7%19%38%13%26%
Loses25%27%26%38%53%45%

Form: San Diego: WDWDLWWLLLWWWDWLWWWWLWLDWWWDWLD • San Jose Earthquakes: WWLLLDWLLLWWDDDWLDWDDLDLLWLWLLL

League goals

Metric San Diego San Jose Earthquakes
HATHAT
GF total253156352156
GF avg1.62.11.82.21.41.8
GA total162238312758
GA avg1.01.51.21.91.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan DiegoSan Jose Earthquakes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%68%94%87%
1.558%32%45%55%
2.526%19%23%29%
3.510%3%13%13%
4.56%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan DiegoSan Jose Earthquakes
HATHAT
Clean sheets8210134
Failed to score426112

Penalties

MetricSan DiegoSan Jose Earthquakes
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricSan DiegoSan Jose Earthquakes
Wins42
Draws13
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-03-56-12-4
Biggest losses1-33-03-54-1
Goals For5564
Goals Against4354

Model comparison

MetricSan DiegoSan Jose Earthquakes
Form73%27%
Att46%54%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total63.4%36.6%

Advice: Double chance : San Diego or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Betano
Draw4.67 @ Pinnacle
Away4.01 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Pinnacle
No2.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): San Diego = 2.52 (league 1.14), San Jose Earthquakes = 1.49 (league 0.94)

San Jose Earthquakes
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Diego 0 1.8% 2.7% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.6% 6.8% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
2 5.7% 8.6% 6.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.8% 7.2% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 3.0% 4.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.5% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 21.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1