USL League One — USA
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 21:00 • Werner Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 1.15) 2.02 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.1% 18.9% 30.1%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.9%
2 - 1
6.9%
3 - 2
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
One Knoxville
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Omaha 0 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
1 2.7% 5.5% 5.5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8%
2 3.4% 6.9% 6.9% 4.7% 2.4% 1.0%
3 2.8% 5.7% 5.8% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
4 1.8% 3.6% 3.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
5 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion OmahaOne Knoxville
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack68%18%
Defense82%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 34 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Omaha One Knoxville
HATHAT
Played101323101323
Wins50%31%39%60%38%48%
Draws30%8%17%40%31%35%
Loses20%62%43%0%31%17%

Form: Union Omaha: LWLDDLLWWLLLWLLWDLWWWWD • One Knoxville: DWWWDDLDWLWWDDWDWWLDWLW

League goals

Metric Union Omaha One Knoxville
HATHAT
GF total241337151631
GF avg2.41.01.61.51.21.3
GA total14203451520
GA avg1.41.51.50.51.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion OmahaOne Knoxville
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%78%87%61%
1.548%48%39%22%
2.517%17%9%4%
3.59%4%0%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion OmahaOne Knoxville
HATHAT
Clean sheets325639
Failed to score044123

Penalties

MetricUnion OmahaOne Knoxville
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricUnion OmahaOne Knoxville
Wins43
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-33-00-2
Biggest losses3-43-0—3-1
Goals For5332
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricUnion OmahaOne Knoxville
Form65%35%
Att79%21%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h80%20%
Goals70%30%
Total66.8%33.2%

Advice: Double chance : Union Omaha or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ Superbet
Draw3.91 @ Pinnacle
Away4.33 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No1.96 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Omaha = 2.51 (league 1.15), One Knoxville = 2.02 (league 0.83)

One Knoxville
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Omaha 0 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
1 2.7% 5.5% 5.5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8%
2 3.4% 6.9% 6.9% 4.7% 2.4% 1.0%
3 2.8% 5.7% 5.8% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
4 1.8% 3.6% 3.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
5 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 30.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1