USL League One — USA
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 18:00 • Paladin Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.15) 1.61 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.3% 22.4% 33.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Union Omaha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Greenville Triumph 0 3.2% 5.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
1 5.9% 9.5% 7.6% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.7% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.3% 5.3% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.5% 2.4% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGreenville TriumphUnion Omaha
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack43%71%
Defense71%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Greenville Triumph Union Omaha
HATHAT
Played131427131427
Wins38%21%30%54%36%44%
Draws23%29%26%31%7%19%
Loses38%50%44%15%57%37%

Form: Greenville Triumph: DWLWLLDDLDLLWWLLWDWDLLLLWWD • Union Omaha: LWLDDLLWWLLLWLLWDLWWWWDDWWW

League goals

Metric Greenville Triumph Union Omaha
HATHAT
GF total191837291645
GF avg1.51.31.42.21.11.7
GA total162238172037
GA avg1.21.61.41.31.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGreenville TriumphUnion Omaha
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%74%85%74%
1.537%37%52%44%
2.522%22%19%15%
3.54%7%7%4%
4.54%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGreenville TriumphUnion Omaha
HATHAT
Clean sheets437437
Failed to score358044

Penalties

MetricGreenville TriumphUnion Omaha
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total74

Streaks

MetricGreenville TriumphUnion Omaha
Wins24
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-00-3
Biggest losses0-43-13-43-0
Goals For3553
Goals Against4443

Model comparison

MetricGreenville TriumphUnion Omaha
Form39%61%
Att38%63%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h20%80%
Goals42%58%
Total41.7%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Union Omaha

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away2.88 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ 188Bet
No2.32 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Greenville Triumph = 1.83 (league 1.15), Union Omaha = 1.61 (league 0.82)

Union Omaha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Greenville Triumph 0 3.2% 5.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
1 5.9% 9.5% 7.6% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.7% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.3% 5.3% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.5% 2.4% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.3% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 33.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1