Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 01:00 • Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.17) 1.43 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.2% 26.2% 43.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sacramento Republic
0 1 2 3 4 5
New Mexico United 0 7.5% 10.8% 7.7% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.7% 12.4% 8.9% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.0% 7.2% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.9% 2.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNew Mexico UnitedSacramento Republic
Played55
Form13%53%
Attack29%41%
Defense24%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric New Mexico United Sacramento Republic
HATHAT
Played8111911920
Wins50%36%42%36%44%40%
Draws25%9%16%55%11%35%
Loses25%55%42%9%44%25%

Form: New Mexico United: LWWWWWLLWWDLWLLLLDD • Sacramento Republic: WDLDLDWDWLDLWWWDWWDL

League goals

Metric New Mexico United Sacramento Republic
HATHAT
GF total121426181129
GF avg1.51.31.41.61.21.5
GA total919289817
GA avg1.11.71.50.80.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNew Mexico UnitedSacramento Republic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%63%70%60%
1.532%53%45%20%
2.521%16%20%5%
3.55%11%5%0%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNew Mexico UnitedSacramento Republic
HATHAT
Clean sheets347538
Failed to score044336

Penalties

MetricNew Mexico UnitedSacramento Republic
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricNew Mexico UnitedSacramento Republic
Wins53
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-35-01-3
Biggest losses1-24-00-12-1
Goals For4353
Goals Against2532

Model comparison

MetricNew Mexico UnitedSacramento Republic
Form20%80%
Att42%58%
Def28%72%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total32.5%67.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sacramento Republic

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away3.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Unibet
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): New Mexico United = 1.15 (league 1.17), Sacramento Republic = 1.43 (league 0.92)

Sacramento Republic
0 1 2 3 4 5
New Mexico United 0 7.5% 10.8% 7.7% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.7% 12.4% 8.9% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.0% 7.2% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.9% 2.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.2% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 43.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1