Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 02:30 • Phoenix Rising Stadium at 38th St/Washington
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.17) 1.56 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.2% 21.3% 29.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 1
8.6%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
El Paso Locomotive
0 1 2 3 4 5
Phoenix Rising 0 2.7% 4.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.5% 8.6% 6.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.7% 8.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.9% 6.0% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPhoenix RisingEl Paso Locomotive
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack56%56%
Defense31%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Phoenix Rising El Paso Locomotive
HATHAT
Played91221101020
Wins33%33%33%50%30%40%
Draws33%33%33%30%40%35%
Loses33%33%33%20%30%25%

Form: Phoenix Rising: LDDLWLDDWWWWDLLWLDLDW • El Paso Locomotive: DDLWWLDWDWWDLWLLWDDW

League goals

Metric Phoenix Rising El Paso Locomotive
HATHAT
GF total18173524933
GF avg2.01.41.72.40.91.7
GA total142337151227
GA avg1.61.91.81.51.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePhoenix RisingEl Paso Locomotive
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%90%75%75%
1.552%43%50%35%
2.519%29%20%20%
3.510%14%10%5%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPhoenix RisingEl Paso Locomotive
HATHAT
Clean sheets112325
Failed to score213145

Penalties

MetricPhoenix RisingEl Paso Locomotive
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPhoenix RisingEl Paso Locomotive
Wins42
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-26-01-2
Biggest losses2-34-10-33-0
Goals For4462
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricPhoenix RisingEl Paso Locomotive
Form38%62%
Att50%50%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h64%36%
Goals56%44%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or El Paso Locomotive

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.71 @ Pinnacle
Away2.90 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Phoenix Rising = 2.05 (league 1.17), El Paso Locomotive = 1.56 (league 0.92)

El Paso Locomotive
0 1 2 3 4 5
Phoenix Rising 0 2.7% 4.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.5% 8.6% 6.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.7% 8.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.9% 6.0% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.2% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 29.1%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1