Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 02:30 • Phoenix Rising Stadium at 38th St/Washington
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.85 (league 1.17) 1.30 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.1% 5.9% 4.1%
best score tips
4 - 1
6.4%
5 - 1
6.2%
3 - 1
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
Las Vegas Lights
0 1 2 3 4 5
Phoenix Rising 0 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.5% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.0% 5.3% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.9% 6.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
5 4.8% 6.2% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPhoenix RisingLas Vegas Lights
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack61%28%
Defense44%39%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Phoenix Rising Las Vegas Lights
HATHAT
Played10122213922
Wins30%33%32%38%11%27%
Draws40%33%36%15%33%23%
Loses30%33%32%46%56%50%

Form: Phoenix Rising: LDDLWLDDWWWWDLLWLDLDWD • Las Vegas Lights: WLDWDLWDLLLLWWLLLLDDLW

League goals

Metric Phoenix Rising Las Vegas Lights
HATHAT
GF total21173812618
GF avg2.11.41.70.90.70.8
GA total172340152439
GA avg1.71.91.81.22.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePhoenix RisingLas Vegas Lights
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%91%59%59%
1.555%45%18%50%
2.523%32%5%32%
3.59%14%0%23%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPhoenix RisingLas Vegas Lights
HATHAT
Clean sheets112639
Failed to score213369

Penalties

MetricPhoenix RisingLas Vegas Lights
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPhoenix RisingLas Vegas Lights
Wins42
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-22-00-1
Biggest losses2-34-11-46-0
Goals For4423
Goals Against3446

Model comparison

MetricPhoenix RisingLas Vegas Lights
Form55%45%
Att69%31%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total59.2%40.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Phoenix Rising and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ Superbet
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Phoenix Rising = 4.85 (league 1.17), Las Vegas Lights = 1.30 (league 0.91)

Las Vegas Lights
0 1 2 3 4 5
Phoenix Rising 0 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.5% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.0% 5.3% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.9% 6.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
5 4.8% 6.2% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.1% · Draw 5.9% · Away win 4.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1