Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 02:00 • Cardinale Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.17) 2.28 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.1% 19.7% 41.5%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 2
7.0%
2 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
New Mexico United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterey Bay 0 1.3% 3.0% 3.4% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.7% 6.1% 7.0% 5.3% 3.0% 1.4%
2 2.8% 6.3% 7.2% 5.5% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.9% 4.3% 4.9% 3.7% 2.1% 1.0%
4 1.0% 2.2% 2.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonterey BayNew Mexico United
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack19%31%
Defense44%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monterey Bay New Mexico United
HATHAT
Played111425111223
Wins45%7%24%45%42%43%
Draws18%29%24%18%8%13%
Loses36%64%52%36%50%43%

Form: Monterey Bay: LWWWDWDLDDLLWLLLWLLLDDLLL • New Mexico United: LWWWWWLLWWDLWLLLLDDLWWL

League goals

Metric Monterey Bay New Mexico United
HATHAT
GF total16824161531
GF avg1.50.61.01.51.31.3
GA total181836121931
GA avg1.61.31.41.11.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonterey BayNew Mexico United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%84%74%61%
1.532%44%30%48%
2.512%12%22%13%
3.50%4%9%9%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonterey BayNew Mexico United
HATHAT
Clean sheets134459
Failed to score3912246

Penalties

MetricMonterey BayNew Mexico United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricMonterey BayNew Mexico United
Wins35
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-00-3
Biggest losses0-43-00-24-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against4325

Model comparison

MetricMonterey BayNew Mexico United
Form22%78%
Att38%63%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total37.2%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or New Mexico United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away2.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monterey Bay = 2.05 (league 1.17), New Mexico United = 2.28 (league 0.91)

New Mexico United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterey Bay 0 1.3% 3.0% 3.4% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.7% 6.1% 7.0% 5.3% 3.0% 1.4%
2 2.8% 6.3% 7.2% 5.5% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.9% 4.3% 4.9% 3.7% 2.1% 1.0%
4 1.0% 2.2% 2.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.1% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 41.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1