Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 02:00 • Phoenix Rising Stadium at 38th St/Washington
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.92 (league 1.17) 2.14 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.2% 17.2% 25.9%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.2%
3 - 2
6.0%
2 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Loudoun United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Phoenix Rising 0 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2%
1 1.9% 4.0% 4.2% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
2 2.7% 5.8% 6.2% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0%
3 2.6% 5.6% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.9% 4.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.1% 2.4% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPhoenix RisingLoudoun United
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack63%69%
Defense56%19%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Phoenix Rising Loudoun United
HATHAT
Played111324121224
Wins27%31%29%58%33%46%
Draws45%38%42%17%17%17%
Loses27%31%29%25%50%38%

Form: Phoenix Rising: LDDLWLDDWWWWDLLWLDLDWDDD • Loudoun United: WWLWWWWLWLDWLLDDLLDWLWWL

League goals

Metric Phoenix Rising Loudoun United
HATHAT
GF total211940241539
GF avg1.91.51.72.01.31.6
GA total172542192140
GA avg1.51.91.81.61.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePhoenix RisingLoudoun United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%88%75%83%
1.554%46%58%46%
2.521%29%21%21%
3.58%13%4%13%
4.50%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPhoenix RisingLoudoun United
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score314246

Penalties

MetricPhoenix RisingLoudoun United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricPhoenix RisingLoudoun United
Wins44
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-25-11-3
Biggest losses2-34-12-54-1
Goals For4453
Goals Against3454

Model comparison

MetricPhoenix RisingLoudoun United
Form44%56%
Att48%52%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h67%33%
Goals58%42%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Phoenix Rising or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Pinnacle
Away2.84 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ 188Bet
No2.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Phoenix Rising = 2.92 (league 1.17), Loudoun United = 2.14 (league 0.91)

Loudoun United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Phoenix Rising 0 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2%
1 1.9% 4.0% 4.2% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
2 2.7% 5.8% 6.2% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0%
3 2.6% 5.6% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.9% 4.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.1% 2.4% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.2% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 25.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1