Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 21:00 • Michael A. Carroll Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.23 (league 1.17) 3.75 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.3% 14.4% 33.6%
best score tips
3 - 3
4.6%
3 - 4
4.3%
2 - 3
4.3%
Score & goals probability table
Birmingham Legion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Indy Eleven 0 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6%
1 0.3% 1.1% 2.1% 2.6% 2.5% 1.9%
2 0.5% 1.8% 3.4% 4.3% 4.0% 3.0%
3 0.5% 2.0% 3.7% 4.6% 4.3% 3.2%
4 0.4% 1.6% 3.0% 3.7% 3.5% 2.6%
5 0.3% 1.0% 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 1.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndy ElevenBirmingham Legion
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack50%57%
Defense43%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.614 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Indy Eleven Birmingham Legion
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins33%25%29%15%18%17%
Draws25%17%21%31%55%42%
Loses42%58%50%54%27%42%

Form: Indy Eleven: WDLDLDDLDWWLLWWLLLLWLWLL • Birmingham Legion: LDDLWLDLDWLLWLDDWLDLDDDL

League goals

Metric Indy Eleven Birmingham Legion
HATHAT
GF total211536102030
GF avg1.81.31.50.81.81.3
GA total232043192342
GA avg1.91.71.81.52.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndy ElevenBirmingham Legion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%79%71%92%
1.542%54%33%42%
2.517%38%17%25%
3.54%8%4%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndy ElevenBirmingham Legion
HATHAT
Clean sheets325202
Failed to score123527

Penalties

MetricIndy ElevenBirmingham Legion
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricIndy ElevenBirmingham Legion
Wins21
Draws23
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-12-3
Biggest losses1-34-21-44-2
Goals For4334
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricIndy ElevenBirmingham Legion
Form67%33%
Att47%53%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h93%7%
Goals77%23%
Total65.8%34.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Indy Eleven or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Unibet
Draw3.80 @ Pinnacle
Away3.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Betano
No2.49 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Indy Eleven = 3.23 (league 1.17), Birmingham Legion = 3.75 (league 0.91)

Birmingham Legion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Indy Eleven 0 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6%
1 0.3% 1.1% 2.1% 2.6% 2.5% 1.9%
2 0.5% 1.8% 3.4% 4.3% 4.0% 3.0%
3 0.5% 2.0% 3.7% 4.6% 4.3% 3.2%
4 0.4% 1.6% 3.0% 3.7% 3.5% 2.6%
5 0.3% 1.0% 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 1.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.3% · Draw 14.4% · Away win 33.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1