Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 02:00 • Cardinale Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.17) 2.43 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.9% 16.5% 68.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.2%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sacramento Republic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterey Bay 0 3.8% 9.2% 11.2% 9.1% 5.6% 2.7%
1 3.2% 7.7% 9.4% 7.6% 4.6% 2.3%
2 1.3% 3.2% 3.9% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonterey BaySacramento Republic
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack20%80%
Defense20%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monterey Bay Sacramento Republic
HATHAT
Played121426121224
Wins42%7%23%33%58%46%
Draws25%29%27%58%8%33%
Loses33%64%50%8%33%21%

Form: Monterey Bay: LWWWDWDLDDLLWLLLWLLLDDLLLD • Sacramento Republic: WDLDLDWDWLDLWWWDWWDLWWDW

League goals

Metric Monterey Bay Sacramento Republic
HATHAT
GF total17825201737
GF avg1.40.61.01.71.41.5
GA total19183711819
GA avg1.61.31.40.90.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonterey BaySacramento Republic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%85%75%54%
1.531%42%54%21%
2.512%12%17%4%
3.50%4%4%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonterey BaySacramento Republic
HATHAT
Clean sheets1345611
Failed to score3912336

Penalties

MetricMonterey BaySacramento Republic
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricMonterey BaySacramento Republic
Wins33
Draws21
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-35-01-3
Biggest losses0-43-00-12-1
Goals For3353
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricMonterey BaySacramento Republic
Form17%83%
Att20%80%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total25.3%74.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sacramento Republic

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.97 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.32 @ Pinnacle
Away2.11 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monterey Bay = 0.84 (league 1.17), Sacramento Republic = 2.43 (league 0.92)

Sacramento Republic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterey Bay 0 3.8% 9.2% 11.2% 9.1% 5.6% 2.7%
1 3.2% 7.7% 9.4% 7.6% 4.6% 2.3%
2 1.3% 3.2% 3.9% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.9% · Draw 16.5% · Away win 68.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1