Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 21:00 • Segra Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.17) 2.10 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.7% 19.8% 35.9%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.2%
2 - 1
6.9%
1 - 2
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0 1 2 3 4 5
Loudoun United 0 1.3% 2.8% 2.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%
1 2.9% 6.2% 6.5% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0%
2 3.3% 6.9% 7.2% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1%
3 2.4% 5.1% 5.4% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8%
4 1.3% 2.8% 3.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLoudoun UnitedTampa Bay Rowdies
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack67%73%
Defense13%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Loudoun United Tampa Bay Rowdies
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins58%31%44%25%31%28%
Draws17%23%20%33%8%20%
Loses25%46%36%42%62%52%

Form: Loudoun United: WWLWWWWLWLDWLLDDLLDWLWWLD • Tampa Bay Rowdies: LLWLLLDLLDLWLWLWWLDLWLDWD

League goals

Metric Loudoun United Tampa Bay Rowdies
HATHAT
GF total241741181533
GF avg2.01.31.61.51.21.3
GA total192342231740
GA avg1.61.81.71.91.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLoudoun UnitedTampa Bay Rowdies
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%84%76%96%
1.560%48%36%52%
2.520%20%16%12%
3.54%12%4%0%
4.54%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLoudoun UnitedTampa Bay Rowdies
HATHAT
Clean sheets314011
Failed to score246246

Penalties

MetricLoudoun UnitedTampa Bay Rowdies
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricLoudoun UnitedTampa Bay Rowdies
Wins42
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-33-11-4
Biggest losses2-54-10-32-0
Goals For5334
Goals Against5432

Model comparison

MetricLoudoun UnitedTampa Bay Rowdies
Form47%53%
Att48%52%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h60%40%
Goals57%43%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Loudoun United or draw and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.99 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.45 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Loudoun United = 2.22 (league 1.17), Tampa Bay Rowdies = 2.10 (league 0.91)

Tampa Bay Rowdies
0 1 2 3 4 5
Loudoun United 0 1.3% 2.8% 2.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%
1 2.9% 6.2% 6.5% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0%
2 3.3% 6.9% 7.2% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1%
3 2.4% 5.1% 5.4% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8%
4 1.3% 2.8% 3.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.7% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 35.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1