Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 02:30 • Heart Health Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.17) 0.79 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.8% 18.6% 12.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 0
11.2%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Orange County SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sacramento Republic 0 5.1% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.2% 8.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.9% 7.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.8% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSacramento RepublicOrange County SC
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack44%50%
Defense83%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.614 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sacramento Republic Orange County SC
HATHAT
Played121325111324
Wins33%54%44%55%15%33%
Draws58%8%32%27%23%25%
Loses8%38%24%18%62%42%

Form: Sacramento Republic: WDLDLDWDWLDLWWWDWWDLWWDWL • Orange County SC: WDLLWLWLLWLWDLWWDWLDLDLD

League goals

Metric Sacramento Republic Orange County SC
HATHAT
GF total201737271037
GF avg1.71.31.52.50.81.5
GA total11920201939
GA avg0.90.70.81.81.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSacramento RepublicOrange County SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%56%71%83%
1.552%20%42%46%
2.516%4%25%25%
3.54%0%17%8%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSacramento RepublicOrange County SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611134
Failed to score347257

Penalties

MetricSacramento RepublicOrange County SC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricSacramento RepublicOrange County SC
Wins32
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-34-00-3
Biggest losses0-12-10-34-1
Goals For5343
Goals Against3244

Model comparison

MetricSacramento RepublicOrange County SC
Form77%23%
Att47%53%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Double chance : Sacramento Republic or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away4.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Unibet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sacramento Republic = 2.18 (league 1.17), Orange County SC = 0.79 (league 0.91)

Orange County SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sacramento Republic 0 5.1% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.2% 8.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.9% 7.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.8% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.8% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 12.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1