Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 21:00 • Segra Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.25 (league 1.17) 2.81 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.2% 16.0% 28.8%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.3%
3 - 3
4.9%
2 - 2
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
Birmingham Legion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Loudoun United 0 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
1 0.8% 2.1% 3.0% 2.8% 2.0% 1.1%
2 1.2% 3.5% 4.9% 4.6% 3.2% 1.8%
3 1.3% 3.8% 5.3% 4.9% 3.5% 1.9%
4 1.1% 3.1% 4.3% 4.0% 2.8% 1.6%
5 0.7% 2.0% 2.8% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLoudoun UnitedBirmingham Legion
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack85%31%
Defense15%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Loudoun United Birmingham Legion
HATHAT
Played131326141327
Wins54%31%42%14%15%15%
Draws23%23%23%36%54%44%
Loses23%46%35%50%31%41%

Form: Loudoun United: WWLWWWWLWLDWLLDDLLDWLWWLDD • Birmingham Legion: LDDLWLDLDWLLWLDDWLDLDDDLLDD

League goals

Metric Loudoun United Birmingham Legion
HATHAT
GF total261743112132
GF avg2.01.31.70.81.61.2
GA total212344202545
GA avg1.61.81.71.41.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLoudoun UnitedBirmingham Legion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%85%70%89%
1.562%50%30%41%
2.519%19%15%22%
3.54%12%4%15%
4.54%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLoudoun UnitedBirmingham Legion
HATHAT
Clean sheets314213
Failed to score246538

Penalties

MetricLoudoun UnitedBirmingham Legion
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricLoudoun UnitedBirmingham Legion
Wins41
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-33-12-3
Biggest losses2-54-11-44-2
Goals For5334
Goals Against5444

Model comparison

MetricLoudoun UnitedBirmingham Legion
Form73%27%
Att73%27%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h60%40%
Goals58%42%
Total60.2%39.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Loudoun United or draw and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.99 @ 188Bet
Draw4.72 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Betano
Under 2.52.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Loudoun United = 3.25 (league 1.17), Birmingham Legion = 2.81 (league 0.91)

Birmingham Legion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Loudoun United 0 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
1 0.8% 2.1% 3.0% 2.8% 2.0% 1.1%
2 1.2% 3.5% 4.9% 4.6% 3.2% 1.8%
3 1.3% 3.8% 5.3% 4.9% 3.5% 1.9%
4 1.1% 3.1% 4.3% 4.0% 2.8% 1.6%
5 0.7% 2.0% 2.8% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.2% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 28.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1