Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 02:00 • Wild Horse Pass Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.57 (league 1.17) 2.42 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.8% 18.3% 34.8%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.6%
3 - 2
5.6%
2 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
New Mexico United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Phoenix Rising 0 0.7% 1.7% 2.0% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5%
1 1.8% 4.2% 5.1% 4.1% 2.5% 1.2%
2 2.2% 5.4% 6.6% 5.3% 3.2% 1.6%
3 1.9% 4.6% 5.6% 4.5% 2.8% 1.3%
4 1.2% 3.0% 3.6% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9%
5 0.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPhoenix RisingNew Mexico United
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack83%75%
Defense17%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Phoenix Rising New Mexico United
HATHAT
Played131326121426
Wins23%31%27%50%43%46%
Draws54%38%46%17%14%15%
Loses23%31%27%33%43%38%

Form: Phoenix Rising: LDDLWLDDWWWWDLLWLDLDWDDDDD • New Mexico United: LWWWWWLLWWDLWLLLLDDLWWLDWW

League goals

Metric Phoenix Rising New Mexico United
HATHAT
GF total261945181836
GF avg2.01.51.71.51.31.4
GA total222547132134
GA avg1.71.91.81.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePhoenix RisingNew Mexico United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%88%77%65%
1.558%50%35%42%
2.523%31%19%12%
3.58%12%8%8%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPhoenix RisingNew Mexico United
HATHAT
Clean sheets213459
Failed to score314246

Penalties

MetricPhoenix RisingNew Mexico United
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricPhoenix RisingNew Mexico United
Wins45
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-24-00-3
Biggest losses2-34-10-24-0
Goals For4443
Goals Against3425

Model comparison

MetricPhoenix RisingNew Mexico United
Form33%67%
Att53%47%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total44.7%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or New Mexico United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away3.60 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.39 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Phoenix Rising = 2.57 (league 1.17), New Mexico United = 2.42 (league 0.91)

New Mexico United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Phoenix Rising 0 0.7% 1.7% 2.0% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5%
1 1.8% 4.2% 5.1% 4.1% 2.5% 1.2%
2 2.2% 5.4% 6.6% 5.3% 3.2% 1.6%
3 1.9% 4.6% 5.6% 4.5% 2.8% 1.3%
4 1.2% 3.0% 3.6% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9%
5 0.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.8% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 34.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1