Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 01:00 • Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.92 (league 1.17) 0.96 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.5% 21.8% 18.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
10.8%
2 - 0
10.4%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Orange County SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
New Mexico United 0 5.6% 5.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.8% 10.3% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.7% 6.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNew Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack43%36%
Defense71%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric New Mexico United Orange County SC
HATHAT
Played121527121426
Wins50%47%48%50%14%31%
Draws17%13%15%33%21%27%
Loses33%40%37%17%64%42%

Form: New Mexico United: LWWWWWLLWWDLWLLLLDDLWWLDWWW • Orange County SC: WDLLWLWLLWLWDLWWDWLDLDLDLD

League goals

Metric New Mexico United Orange County SC
HATHAT
GF total181937271138
GF avg1.51.31.42.30.81.5
GA total132134202141
GA avg1.11.41.31.71.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNew Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%63%69%81%
1.533%41%38%46%
2.519%11%23%23%
3.57%7%15%8%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNew Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets4610235
Failed to score246358

Penalties

MetricNew Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricNew Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
Wins52
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-00-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-34-1
Goals For4343
Goals Against2544

Model comparison

MetricNew Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
Form77%23%
Att55%45%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h71%29%
Goals80%20%
Total69.7%30.3%

Advice: Double chance : New Mexico United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ 188Bet
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away3.60 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.15 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): New Mexico United = 1.92 (league 1.17), Orange County SC = 0.96 (league 0.92)

Orange County SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
New Mexico United 0 5.6% 5.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.8% 10.3% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.7% 6.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.5% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 18.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1