Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 01:00 • Michael A. Carroll Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.46 (league 1.17) 2.54 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.6% 18.2% 37.9%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.6%
2 - 3
5.6%
3 - 2
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Loudoun United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Indy Eleven 0 0.7% 1.7% 2.2% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6%
1 1.7% 4.2% 5.3% 4.5% 2.9% 1.5%
2 2.0% 5.2% 6.6% 5.6% 3.5% 1.8%
3 1.7% 4.2% 5.4% 4.6% 2.9% 1.5%
4 1.0% 2.6% 3.3% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9%
5 0.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndy ElevenLoudoun United
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack42%58%
Defense42%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Indy Eleven Loudoun United
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins43%21%32%50%36%43%
Draws21%14%18%21%21%21%
Loses36%64%50%29%43%36%

Form: Indy Eleven: WDLDLDDLDWWLLWWLLLLWLWLLWWLL • Loudoun United: WWLWWWWLWLDWLLDDLLDWLWWLDDLW

League goals

Metric Indy Eleven Loudoun United
HATHAT
GF total251641261844
GF avg1.81.11.51.91.31.6
GA total252449222345
GA avg1.81.71.81.61.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndy ElevenLoudoun United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%82%75%82%
1.543%54%57%46%
2.514%32%18%18%
3.54%7%4%11%
4.50%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndy ElevenLoudoun United
HATHAT
Clean sheets325325
Failed to score134347

Penalties

MetricIndy ElevenLoudoun United
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricIndy ElevenLoudoun United
Wins24
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-35-11-3
Biggest losses1-34-22-54-1
Goals For4353
Goals Against4454

Model comparison

MetricIndy ElevenLoudoun United
Form55%45%
Att42%58%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total55.7%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : Indy Eleven or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away3.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ 188Bet
No2.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Indy Eleven = 2.46 (league 1.17), Loudoun United = 2.54 (league 0.92)

Loudoun United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Indy Eleven 0 0.7% 1.7% 2.2% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6%
1 1.7% 4.2% 5.3% 4.5% 2.9% 1.5%
2 2.0% 5.2% 6.6% 5.6% 3.5% 1.8%
3 1.7% 4.2% 5.4% 4.6% 2.9% 1.5%
4 1.0% 2.6% 3.3% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9%
5 0.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.6% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 37.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1