Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 02:00 • Championship Soccer Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.17) 3.10 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.3% 14.9% 60.0%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.5%
1 - 2
7.2%
1 - 4
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Louisville City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orange County SC 0 1.0% 3.1% 4.8% 5.0% 3.9% 2.4%
1 1.5% 4.7% 7.2% 7.5% 5.8% 3.6%
2 1.1% 3.5% 5.4% 5.6% 4.4% 2.7%
3 0.6% 1.8% 2.7% 2.8% 2.2% 1.4%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOrange County SCLouisville City
Played55
Form40%100%
Attack58%75%
Defense42%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Orange County SC Louisville City
HATHAT
Played131528141428
Wins54%13%32%79%71%75%
Draws31%27%29%21%21%21%
Loses15%60%39%0%7%4%

Form: Orange County SC: WDLLWLWLLWLWDLWWDWLDLDLDLDDW • Louisville City: WDWWDWWDDWWWWLWWDWWWDWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Orange County SC Louisville City
HATHAT
GF total281442292655
GF avg2.20.91.52.11.92.0
GA total20244481119
GA avg1.51.61.60.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOrange County SCLouisville City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%79%93%57%
1.539%46%61%11%
2.525%25%25%0%
3.514%7%18%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOrange County SCLouisville City
HATHAT
Clean sheets3367512
Failed to score358202

Penalties

MetricOrange County SCLouisville City
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricOrange County SCLouisville City
Wins24
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-11-4
Biggest losses0-34-1—2-1
Goals For4344
Goals Against4422

Model comparison

MetricOrange County SCLouisville City
Form29%71%
Att44%56%
Def13%88%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h0%100%
Goals18%82%
Total27.2%73.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Louisville City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Bet365
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away2.18 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Orange County SC = 1.50 (league 1.17), Louisville City = 3.10 (league 0.92)

Louisville City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Orange County SC 0 1.0% 3.1% 4.8% 5.0% 3.9% 2.4%
1 1.5% 4.7% 7.2% 7.5% 5.8% 3.6%
2 1.1% 3.5% 5.4% 5.6% 4.4% 2.7%
3 0.6% 1.8% 2.7% 2.8% 2.2% 1.4%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.3% · Draw 14.9% · Away win 60.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1