Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 02:00 • Heart Health Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.17) 0.89 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.6% 19.0% 13.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.0%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Miami FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sacramento Republic 0 4.6% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.1% 9.0% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.1% 7.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSacramento RepublicMiami FC
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack54%46%
Defense46%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sacramento Republic Miami FC
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins43%47%45%27%21%24%
Draws50%13%31%20%21%21%
Loses7%40%24%53%57%55%

Form: Sacramento Republic: WDLDLDWDWLDLWWWDWWDLWWDWLWLDW • Miami FC: LLLLWWDWLWLWLDDLDLDLLLLDLLWLW

League goals

Metric Sacramento Republic Miami FC
HATHAT
GF total232144161228
GF avg1.61.41.51.10.91.0
GA total121426222244
GA avg0.90.90.91.51.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSacramento RepublicMiami FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%59%62%86%
1.555%24%28%45%
2.514%7%7%17%
3.53%0%0%3%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSacramento RepublicMiami FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets6612224
Failed to score3475611

Penalties

MetricSacramento RepublicMiami FC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricSacramento RepublicMiami FC
Wins32
Draws12
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-33-12-3
Biggest losses0-13-22-43-0
Goals For5333
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricSacramento RepublicMiami FC
Form54%46%
Att54%46%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sacramento Republic or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ 188Bet
Draw4.33 @ Pinnacle
Away6.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.97 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sacramento Republic = 2.19 (league 1.17), Miami FC = 0.89 (league 0.91)

Miami FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sacramento Republic 0 4.6% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.1% 9.0% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.1% 7.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.6% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 13.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1