Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:00 • Nadderud Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.76) 1.51 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.2% 23.8% 36.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lillestrøm W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stabæk W 0 4.5% 6.8% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.1% 10.8% 8.2% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.6% 6.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.0% 4.6% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStabæk WLillestrøm W
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack29%38%
Defense86%24%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.616 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stabæk W Lillestrøm W
HATHAT
Played101222111021
Wins60%33%45%36%40%38%
Draws0%25%14%18%20%19%
Loses40%42%41%45%40%43%

Form: Stabæk W: WLWLWDWLLLLLWWDLWWDWWL • Lillestrøm W: WWLWLDDLLDWWWWLLLDLWL

League goals

Metric Stabæk W Lillestrøm W
HATHAT
GF total141024201737
GF avg1.40.81.11.81.71.8
GA total121729202040
GA avg1.21.41.31.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStabæk WLillestrøm W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%64%86%81%
1.532%32%38%57%
2.59%23%29%29%
3.59%5%19%14%
4.50%5%5%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStabæk WLillestrøm W
HATHAT
Clean sheets358224
Failed to score369213

Penalties

MetricStabæk WLillestrøm W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricStabæk WLillestrøm W
Wins24
Draws12
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-45-10-4
Biggest losses0-36-01-55-0
Goals For4454
Goals Against3655

Model comparison

MetricStabæk WLillestrøm W
Form71%29%
Att43%57%
Def84%16%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h7%93%
Goals35%65%
Total48.3%51.7%

Advice: Double chance : Stabæk W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away2.55 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.17 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stabæk W = 1.59 (league 1.76), Lillestrøm W = 1.51 (league 1.35)

Lillestrøm W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stabæk W 0 4.5% 6.8% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.1% 10.8% 8.2% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.6% 6.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.0% 4.6% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.2% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 36.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1