Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:00 •
AKA Arena
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.79)
1.74 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.9% | 23.6% | 48.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Lillestrøm W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hønefoss W | 0 | 5.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hønefoss W | Lillestrøm W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 47% | 47% |
| Defense | 18% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hønefoss W | Lillestrøm W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 38% | 15% | 27% | 46% | 38% | 42% |
| Draws | 8% | 31% | 19% | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Loses | 54% | 54% | 54% | 38% | 46% | 42% |
Form: Hønefoss W: LDLLWWLLWDLLLLWWDLLLLWLDWD • Lillestrøm W: WWLWLDDLLDWWWWLLLDLWLLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Hønefoss W | Lillestrøm W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 20 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 21 | 32 | 53 | 20 | 26 | 46 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hønefoss W | Lillestrøm W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 85% | 81% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 46% | 38% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 27% | 31% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 15% | 19% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 12% | 4% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hønefoss W | Lillestrøm W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hønefoss W | Lillestrøm W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hønefoss W | Lillestrøm W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 5-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 8-0 | 1-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hønefoss W | Lillestrøm W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 41.7% | 58.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Lillestrøm W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hønefoss W = 1.23 (league 1.79), Lillestrøm W = 1.74 (league 1.38)
| Lillestrøm W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hønefoss W | 0 | 5.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 48.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1