Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:00 • Syltøran stadion
Match Finished
4 - 1
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 2.33) 3.17 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.4% 15.2% 56.4%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.9%
1 - 2
6.5%
2 - 3
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Nardo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Surnadal 0 0.8% 2.4% 3.8% 4.0% 3.2% 2.0%
1 1.3% 4.1% 6.5% 6.9% 5.5% 3.5%
2 1.1% 3.5% 5.6% 5.9% 4.7% 3.0%
3 0.6% 2.0% 3.2% 3.4% 2.7% 1.7%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSurnadalNardo
Played55
Form13%53%
Attack44%63%
Defense0%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)18 | 3.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Surnadal Nardo
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins10%0%5%45%30%38%
Draws20%27%24%36%10%24%
Loses70%73%71%18%60%38%

Form: Surnadal: LLLLLDLDLLWLDLLLLLDLD • Nardo: WDWLLWLDLWWWLLLDWDWLD

League goals

Metric Surnadal Nardo
HATHAT
GF total19726251742
GF avg1.90.61.22.31.72.0
GA total324880142135
GA avg3.24.43.81.32.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSurnadalNardo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%95%90%81%
1.524%76%52%48%
2.510%67%29%29%
3.510%57%19%10%
4.55%38%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSurnadalNardo
HATHAT
Clean sheets101314
Failed to score145022

Penalties

MetricSurnadalNardo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricSurnadalNardo
Wins13
Draws11
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-0—6-00-4
Biggest losses0-77-01-34-1
Goals For5164
Goals Against7734

Model comparison

MetricSurnadalNardo
Form20%80%
Att41%59%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h13%88%
Goals14%86%
Total26.8%73.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nardo and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Surnadal = 1.71 (league 2.33), Nardo = 3.17 (league 1.71)

Nardo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Surnadal 0 0.8% 2.4% 3.8% 4.0% 3.2% 2.0%
1 1.3% 4.1% 6.5% 6.9% 5.5% 3.5%
2 1.1% 3.5% 5.6% 5.9% 4.7% 3.0%
3 0.6% 2.0% 3.2% 3.4% 2.7% 1.7%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 56.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1