Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • ÆESTOLT Banen Kunstgress
Match Finished
Expected Goals
6.04 (league 2.33) 0.35 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.9% 0.8% 0.2%
best score tips
5 - 0
11.2%
4 - 0
9.3%
3 - 0
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Surnadal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melhus 0 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.3% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.2% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelhusSurnadal
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack81%44%
Defense63%19%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

66%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melhus Surnadal
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins91%64%77%18%0%9%
Draws0%18%9%18%27%23%
Loses9%18%14%64%73%68%

Form: Melhus: WWWWWDWLLWWWWWWWLWWWDW • Surnadal: LLLLLDLDLLWLDLLLLLDLDW

League goals

Metric Melhus Surnadal
HATHAT
GF total35306523730
GF avg3.22.73.02.10.61.4
GA total111526334881
GA avg1.01.41.23.04.43.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelhusSurnadal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%68%77%95%
1.573%27%27%73%
2.564%14%14%64%
3.527%5%14%55%
4.518%5%5%36%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelhusSurnadal
HATHAT
Clean sheets527101
Failed to score022145

Penalties

MetricMelhusSurnadal
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMelhusSurnadal
Wins71
Draws11
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-75-0—
Biggest losses3-52-00-77-0
Goals For7751
Goals Against5377

Model comparison

MetricMelhusSurnadal
Form72%28%
Att65%35%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h100%0%
Goals86%14%
Total77.0%23.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Melhus and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.11 @ Bet365
Draw11.88 @ Pinnacle
Away19.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.17 @ Bet365
Under 2.55.40 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Marathonbet
No1.96 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melhus = 6.04 (league 2.33), Surnadal = 0.35 (league 1.71)

Surnadal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melhus 0 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.3% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.2% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.9% · Draw 0.8% · Away win 0.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1