Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 11:00 • TOBB Arena Sør
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.47 (league 2.33) 1.34 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.2% 18.4% 19.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.1%
3 - 1
7.5%
1 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Surnadal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tiller 0 2.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.5% 7.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.8% 9.1% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.6% 7.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.4% 4.6% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTillerSurnadal
Played55
Form0%33%
Attack25%40%
Defense5%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)19 | 3.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

69%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tiller Surnadal
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins0%8%4%17%0%8%
Draws17%8%13%17%33%25%
Loses83%83%83%67%67%67%

Form: Tiller: DDLWLLLLDLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL • Surnadal: LLLLLDLDLLWLDLLLLLDLDWDL

League goals

Metric Tiller Surnadal
HATHAT
GF total17143125833
GF avg1.41.21.32.10.71.4
GA total404484364985
GA avg3.33.73.53.04.13.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTillerSurnadal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%96%79%96%
1.538%88%29%71%
2.517%71%13%63%
3.50%42%13%50%
4.50%25%4%33%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTillerSurnadal
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score246145

Penalties

MetricTillerSurnadal
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricTillerSurnadal
Wins11
Draws21
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-35-0
Biggest losses0-59-20-77-0
Goals For3351
Goals Against6977

Model comparison

MetricTillerSurnadal
Form0%100%
Att38%62%
Def37%63%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h67%33%
Goals58%42%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Surnadal and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ Marathonbet
Draw4.38 @ Pinnacle
Away2.48 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.11 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.55.00 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.14 @ Marathonbet
No4.77 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tiller = 2.47 (league 2.33), Surnadal = 1.34 (league 1.73)

Surnadal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tiller 0 2.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.5% 7.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.8% 9.1% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.6% 7.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.4% 4.6% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.2% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 19.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1