Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 17:00 • Sarpsborg Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 2.21) 1.40 (league 1.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.2% 22.9% 29.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
SF Grei
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarpsborg 08 II 0 4.1% 5.7% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
1 7.3% 10.2% 7.2% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.3% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.0% 5.6% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.8% 2.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarpsborg 08 IISF Grei
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack26%42%
Defense42%26%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.214 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarpsborg 08 II SF Grei
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins44%36%40%50%40%45%
Draws33%9%20%10%10%10%
Loses22%55%40%40%50%45%

Form: Sarpsborg 08 II: WWWDLWLWWLWDWLLLDLDL • SF Grei: DWLDWWLLWWWLLLWLWLWL

League goals

Metric Sarpsborg 08 II SF Grei
HATHAT
GF total181937212142
GF avg2.01.71.92.12.12.1
GA total112233202040
GA avg1.22.01.72.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarpsborg 08 IISF Grei
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%90%85%95%
1.555%40%50%55%
2.520%25%35%25%
3.510%5%25%10%
4.510%5%15%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarpsborg 08 IISF Grei
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score033123

Penalties

MetricSarpsborg 08 IISF Grei
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSarpsborg 08 IISF Grei
Wins33
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-65-02-5
Biggest losses2-35-10-74-1
Goals For5655
Goals Against3574

Model comparison

MetricSarpsborg 08 IISF Grei
Form25%75%
Att38%62%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total48.4%51.6%

Advice: Double chance : Sarpsborg 08 II or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.75 @ Betano
Draw4.37 @ Pinnacle
Away2.15 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.30 @ William Hill
No3.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sarpsborg 08 II = 1.81 (league 2.21), SF Grei = 1.40 (league 1.80)

SF Grei
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarpsborg 08 II 0 4.1% 5.7% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
1 7.3% 10.2% 7.2% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.3% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.0% 5.6% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.8% 2.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.2% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 29.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1