Mon, Oct 6 2025 • 17:00 • Sarpsborg Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 2.22) 0.80 (league 1.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.3% 15.6% 9.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.5%
3 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Fredrikstad II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarpsborg 08 II 0 3.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.1% 7.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.6% 7.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarpsborg 08 IIFredrikstad II
Played55
Form7%7%
Attack29%19%
Defense38%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.618 | 3.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarpsborg 08 II Fredrikstad II
HATHAT
Played101222111122
Wins40%33%36%36%9%23%
Draws30%8%18%0%18%9%
Loses30%58%45%64%73%68%

Form: Sarpsborg 08 II: WWWDLWLWWLWDWLLLDLDLLL • Fredrikstad II: LWLWDLWLLLLLWLWLLLLLDL

League goals

Metric Sarpsborg 08 II Fredrikstad II
HATHAT
GF total182139221335
GF avg1.81.81.82.01.21.6
GA total122537313465
GA avg1.22.11.72.83.13.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarpsborg 08 IIFredrikstad II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%91%73%100%
1.555%41%45%77%
2.518%27%18%50%
3.59%5%14%32%
4.59%5%9%27%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarpsborg 08 IIFredrikstad II
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score134246

Penalties

MetricSarpsborg 08 IIFredrikstad II
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSarpsborg 08 IIFredrikstad II
Wins31
Draws11
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-65-21-5
Biggest losses2-35-10-55-0
Goals For5655
Goals Against3566

Model comparison

MetricSarpsborg 08 IIFredrikstad II
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sarpsborg 08 II or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Betano
Draw4.70 @ Superbet
Away4.65 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.33 @ Superbet
No3.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sarpsborg 08 II = 2.51 (league 2.22), Fredrikstad II = 0.80 (league 1.80)

Fredrikstad II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarpsborg 08 II 0 3.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.1% 7.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.6% 7.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.3% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 9.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1