Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 11:00 •
Umea Energi Arena
Expected Goals
3.52 (league 1.69)
0.56 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.7% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
best score tips
3 - 0
12.4%
4 - 0
10.9%
2 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Mallbacken W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Umeå | 0 | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.9% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Umeå | Mallbacken W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 20% |
| Attack | 80% | 13% |
| Defense | 53% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Umeå | Mallbacken W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 70% | 55% | 62% | 18% | 20% | 19% |
| Draws | 20% | 45% | 33% | 36% | 10% | 24% |
| Loses | 10% | 0% | 5% | 45% | 70% | 57% |
Form: Umeå: WDDWWWWWWWWWWWDDDDDLW • Mallbacken W: DDDLDLDLWLLLLWWLLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Umeå | Mallbacken W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 25 | 47 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 27 | 47 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Umeå | Mallbacken W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 95% | 52% | 67% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 62% | 19% | 24% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 0% | 5% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 0% | 0% | 24% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Umeå | Mallbacken W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Umeå | Mallbacken W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Umeå | Mallbacken W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 11 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-7 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 1-6 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Umeå | Mallbacken W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 86% | 14% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 73.0% | 27.0% |
Advice: Winner : Umeå
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Umeå = 3.52 (league 1.69), Mallbacken W = 0.56 (league 1.44)
| Mallbacken W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Umeå | 0 | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.9% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.7% · Draw 7.1% · Away win 2.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1