Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Tres de Febrero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.06) 0.24 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.9% 44.9% 11.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.0%
1 - 0
27.6%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Quilmes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almagro 0 38.0% 9.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.6% 6.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.1% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmagroQuilmes
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack44%44%
Defense44%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

45%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almagro Quilmes
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins43%7%25%50%7%29%
Draws36%43%39%36%36%36%
Loses21%50%36%14%57%36%

Form: Almagro: DLLLWDWDDLDWWWDWDDLLLLDLWLDD • Quilmes: DLDDWWWLWWDLLDDLDLDDWLLWLLWD

League goals

Metric Almagro Quilmes
HATHAT
GF total10112122527
GF avg0.70.80.81.60.41.0
GA total61925111627
GA avg0.41.40.90.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmagroQuilmes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%68%57%64%
1.511%18%29%29%
2.54%4%11%4%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmagroQuilmes
HATHAT
Clean sheets8195510
Failed to score741121012

Penalties

MetricAlmagroQuilmes
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAlmagroQuilmes
Wins33
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-13-00-1
Biggest losses0-13-11-23-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricAlmagroQuilmes
Form42%58%
Att50%50%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Almagro or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.70 @ Unibet
Away3.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.54.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.26 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.10 @ 188Bet
No1.42 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Almagro = 0.73 (league 1.06), Quilmes = 0.24 (league 0.67)

Quilmes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almagro 0 38.0% 9.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.6% 6.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.1% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 44.9% · Away win 11.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1