Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.06) 0.30 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.6% 35.5% 10.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.2%
0 - 0
26.7%
2 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Atlanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Patronato 0 26.7% 8.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.2% 8.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.9% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPatronatoAtlanta
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack22%67%
Defense67%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Patronato Atlanta
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins57%21%39%71%14%43%
Draws29%36%32%21%57%39%
Loses14%43%29%7%29%18%

Form: Patronato: WDLLDDDLWWLDWDWLWDDWWLWLWLWD • Atlanta: WDDDWWDWDWWDLWDWWDLDWLLWLDDW

League goals

Metric Patronato Atlanta
HATHAT
GF total17122921627
GF avg1.20.91.01.50.41.0
GA total7172471219
GA avg0.51.20.90.50.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePatronatoAtlanta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%61%64%46%
1.521%21%21%18%
2.514%4%7%4%
3.50%0%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPatronatoAtlanta
HATHAT
Clean sheets83118715
Failed to score5492810

Penalties

MetricPatronatoAtlanta
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricPatronatoAtlanta
Wins22
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-00-1
Biggest losses0-13-10-23-0
Goals For3341
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricPatronatoAtlanta
Form47%53%
Att25%75%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Patronato or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away3.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.38 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.60 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Patronato = 1.02 (league 1.06), Atlanta = 0.30 (league 0.67)

Atlanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Patronato 0 26.7% 8.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.2% 8.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.9% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.6% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 10.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1