Mon, Sep 1 2025 • 20:10 • Estadio República de Mataderos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.06) 1.22 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.9% 30.7% 56.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.5%
0 - 0
19.4%
0 - 2
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Gimnasia M.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nueva Chicago 0 19.4% 23.5% 14.3% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4%
1 8.2% 10.0% 6.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 1.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNueva ChicagoGimnasia M.
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack33%56%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nueva Chicago Gimnasia M.
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins36%21%29%57%43%50%
Draws29%36%32%36%36%36%
Loses36%43%39%7%21%14%

Form: Nueva Chicago: LLDWDLLWDLDWLLDLWDWDWWDWLLDL • Gimnasia M.: DWWDWWDDWDWDLWDWDDDWWLWWWWLL

League goals

Metric Nueva Chicago Gimnasia M.
HATHAT
GF total121224161329
GF avg0.90.90.91.10.91.0
GA total1215277714
GA avg0.91.11.00.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNueva ChicagoGimnasia M.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%61%75%46%
1.518%32%29%4%
2.50%4%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNueva ChicagoGimnasia M.
HATHAT
Clean sheets74117815
Failed to score549257

Penalties

MetricNueva ChicagoGimnasia M.
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricNueva ChicagoGimnasia M.
Wins24
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-00-2
Biggest losses1-32-10-12-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against3212

Model comparison

MetricNueva ChicagoGimnasia M.
Form31%69%
Att38%63%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total32.5%67.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gimnasia M. and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.95 @ Unibet
Away2.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.38 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.59 @ 188Bet
No1.55 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nueva Chicago = 0.43 (league 1.06), Gimnasia M. = 1.22 (league 0.67)

Gimnasia M.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nueva Chicago 0 19.4% 23.5% 14.3% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4%
1 8.2% 10.0% 6.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 1.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.9% · Draw 30.7% · Away win 56.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1