Mon, Sep 1 2025 • 00:15 • Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.06) 0.54 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.6% 34.8% 19.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.6%
1 - 0
21.4%
0 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
CA Estudiantes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Moron 0 21.6% 11.7% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.4% 11.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.6% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo MoronCA Estudiantes
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack63%100%
Defense63%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Moron CA Estudiantes
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins71%21%46%50%43%46%
Draws21%50%36%21%21%21%
Loses7%29%18%29%36%32%

Form: Deportivo Moron: DWLDLDDWLWWWWDDWWWDDDWLDWLWW • CA Estudiantes: WWDDWWLLLWWLLDDWDLWLLDWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Deportivo Moron CA Estudiantes
HATHAT
GF total21930171330
GF avg1.50.61.11.20.91.1
GA total6101691019
GA avg0.40.70.60.60.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo MoronCA Estudiantes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%50%64%50%
1.529%7%29%18%
2.57%0%7%0%
3.54%0%4%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo MoronCA Estudiantes
HATHAT
Clean sheets95148614
Failed to score2796410

Penalties

MetricDeportivo MoronCA Estudiantes
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricDeportivo MoronCA Estudiantes
Wins44
Draws32
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-25-20-3
Biggest losses0-22-10-22-1
Goals For4253
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo MoronCA Estudiantes
Form45%55%
Att36%64%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h60%40%
Goals57%43%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Deportivo Moron or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Unibet
Away3.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.33 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ Unibet
No1.52 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Moron = 0.99 (league 1.06), CA Estudiantes = 0.54 (league 0.67)

CA Estudiantes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Moron 0 21.6% 11.7% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.4% 11.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.6% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.6% · Draw 34.8% · Away win 19.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1