Fri, Sep 5 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.06) 1.26 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.6% 29.8% 56.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.5%
0 - 0
17.8%
0 - 2
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Moron
0 1 2 3 4 5
Defensores Unidos 0 17.8% 22.5% 14.2% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.3% 10.4% 6.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 1.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDefensores UnidosDeportivo Moron
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack38%46%
Defense46%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Defensores Unidos Deportivo Moron
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins7%13%10%67%21%45%
Draws43%27%34%27%50%38%
Loses50%60%55%7%29%17%

Form: Defensores Unidos: WLDDLLLDLLDDLDLLLLLDLLDWDDLLW • Deportivo Moron: DWLDLDDWLWWWWDDWWWDDDWLDWLWWD

League goals

Metric Defensores Unidos Deportivo Moron
HATHAT
GF total1071722931
GF avg0.70.50.61.50.61.1
GA total20274771017
GA avg1.41.81.60.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDefensores UnidosDeportivo Moron
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%83%69%52%
1.510%55%28%7%
2.53%21%7%0%
3.50%3%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDefensores UnidosDeportivo Moron
HATHAT
Clean sheets2359514
Failed to score7916279

Penalties

MetricDefensores UnidosDeportivo Moron
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricDefensores UnidosDeportivo Moron
Wins14
Draws23
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-14-01-2
Biggest losses0-34-00-22-1
Goals For3242
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricDefensores UnidosDeportivo Moron
Form33%67%
Att45%55%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Deportivo Moron

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.35 @ Superbet
Draw2.84 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ 888Sport

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.37 @ Fonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.50 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Defensores Unidos = 0.46 (league 1.06), Deportivo Moron = 1.26 (league 0.67)

Deportivo Moron
0 1 2 3 4 5
Defensores Unidos 0 17.8% 22.5% 14.2% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.3% 10.4% 6.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 1.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.6% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 56.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1