Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio José María Minella
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.06) 0.53 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.0% 40.6% 23.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.5%
1 - 0
20.8%
0 - 1
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Los Andes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alvarado 0 28.5% 15.0% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.8% 10.9% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlvaradoLos Andes
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack0%30%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 03 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

44%
FT probability

2.5+

31%
FT probability

3.5+

22%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alvarado Los Andes
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins27%6%16%56%7%32%
Draws47%44%45%31%33%32%
Loses27%50%39%13%60%35%

Form: Alvarado: DDLDLDDWDLLWLLDLLWWLDDWLDDDDLDL • Los Andes: LDWWDLWDDLWLWLLDWDLLDLWLWDWDDLW

League goals

Metric Alvarado Los Andes
HATHAT
GF total1161721728
GF avg0.70.40.51.30.50.9
GA total11172891726
GA avg0.71.10.90.61.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlvaradoLos Andes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.535%58%65%55%
1.513%26%19%23%
2.56%6%6%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlvaradoLos Andes
HATHAT
Clean sheets761311314
Failed to score911203811

Penalties

MetricAlvaradoLos Andes
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAlvaradoLos Andes
Wins22
Draws42
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-00-1
Biggest losses0-23-01-32-0
Goals For3231
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricAlvaradoLos Andes
Form27%73%
Att0%100%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total40.3%59.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Los Andes and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ William Hill
Draw2.77 @ Betano
Away3.55 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.29 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.77 @ 188Bet
No1.44 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alvarado = 0.73 (league 1.06), Los Andes = 0.53 (league 0.67)

Los Andes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alvarado 0 28.5% 15.0% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.8% 10.9% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.0% · Draw 40.6% · Away win 23.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1