Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.06) 0.81 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.3% 30.7% 25.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
0 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Maipu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Sarandi 0 14.2% 11.5% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.2% 13.1% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.3% 7.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenal SarandiDeportivo Maipu
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack63%50%
Defense38%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Sarandi Deportivo Maipu
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins27%19%23%44%20%32%
Draws47%19%32%38%40%39%
Loses27%63%45%19%40%29%

Form: Arsenal Sarandi: DDDDLLDDLLLLLDDDWLWLLWLWLWLWWDL • Deportivo Maipu: WWLWLDDLDWLDWDDWLDDLWWLDWLLDWDD

League goals

Metric Arsenal Sarandi Deportivo Maipu
HATHAT
GF total16153119928
GF avg1.10.91.01.20.60.9
GA total142943111627
GA avg0.91.81.40.71.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenal SarandiDeportivo Maipu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%81%65%68%
1.526%35%19%16%
2.510%19%6%3%
3.53%3%0%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenal SarandiDeportivo Maipu
HATHAT
Clean sheets4265510
Failed to score76134711

Penalties

MetricArsenal SarandiDeportivo Maipu
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricArsenal SarandiDeportivo Maipu
Wins22
Draws42
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-33-00-1
Biggest losses0-24-00-13-0
Goals For5332
Goals Against2413

Model comparison

MetricArsenal SarandiDeportivo Maipu
Form54%46%
Att56%44%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Arsenal Sarandi or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ 188Bet
Draw3.35 @ Pinnacle
Away5.13 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arsenal Sarandi = 1.14 (league 1.06), Deportivo Maipu = 0.81 (league 0.67)

Deportivo Maipu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Sarandi 0 14.2% 11.5% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.2% 13.1% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.3% 7.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.3% · Draw 30.7% · Away win 25.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1