Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.06) 0.60 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.1% 26.4% 15.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.5%
2 - 0
13.6%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Patronato
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Miguel 0 12.6% 7.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.5% 11.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 8.2% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.7% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan MiguelPatronato
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack38%25%
Defense63%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Miguel Patronato
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins60%19%39%56%20%39%
Draws40%38%39%31%33%32%
Loses0%44%23%13%47%29%

Form: San Miguel: WLWLWLDDDDDWLWLDWDWWDDWLWDWLDDW • Patronato: WDLLDDDLWWLDWDWLWDDWWLWLWLWDDLW

League goals

Metric San Miguel Patronato
HATHAT
GF total201030181230
GF avg1.30.61.01.10.81.0
GA total8172571825
GA avg0.51.10.80.41.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan MiguelPatronato
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%52%65%58%
1.523%19%19%19%
2.50%3%13%3%
3.50%3%0%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan MiguelPatronato
HATHAT
Clean sheets871510313
Failed to score1786511

Penalties

MetricSan MiguelPatronato
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricSan MiguelPatronato
Wins22
Draws53
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-01-3
Biggest losses—5-20-13-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against2523

Model comparison

MetricSan MiguelPatronato
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h33%67%
Goals40%60%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Patronato and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.43 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.95 @ 188Bet
Away5.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ 188Bet
No1.55 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.97 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.38 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): San Miguel = 1.47 (league 1.06), Patronato = 0.60 (league 0.67)

Patronato
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Miguel 0 12.6% 7.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.5% 11.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 8.2% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.7% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.1% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 15.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1