Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 18:10 • Estadio Tres de Febrero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.06) 0.38 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 30.9% 11.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.8%
0 - 0
20.5%
2 - 0
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ferro Carril Oeste
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almagro 0 20.5% 7.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.8% 9.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.0% 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmagroFerro Carril Oeste
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack50%50%
Defense38%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almagro Ferro Carril Oeste
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins40%6%23%31%13%23%
Draws40%44%42%50%20%35%
Loses20%50%35%19%67%42%

Form: Almagro: DLLLWDWDDLDWWWDWDDLLLLDLWLDDDDL • Ferro Carril Oeste: DLDWWLDWWLLLWLDWLDLDDLDLDLWLDDL

League goals

Metric Almagro Ferro Carril Oeste
HATHAT
GF total12122412719
GF avg0.80.80.80.80.50.6
GA total8212982432
GA avg0.51.30.90.51.61.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmagroFerro Carril Oeste
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%71%45%61%
1.513%19%16%29%
2.53%3%0%10%
3.50%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmagroFerro Carril Oeste
HATHAT
Clean sheets81910212
Failed to score75128917

Penalties

MetricAlmagroFerro Carril Oeste
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAlmagroFerro Carril Oeste
Wins32
Draws42
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-12-01-2
Biggest losses0-13-10-24-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricAlmagroFerro Carril Oeste
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ferro Carril Oeste and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.82 @ 188Bet
Away3.25 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ 188Bet
No1.55 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.34 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Almagro = 1.21 (league 1.06), Ferro Carril Oeste = 0.38 (league 0.67)

Ferro Carril Oeste
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almagro 0 20.5% 7.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.8% 9.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.0% 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 11.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1