Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.06) 1.68 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.9% 23.8% 59.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.1%
0 - 2
12.7%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Nueva Chicago
0 1 2 3 4 5
Defensores Unidos 0 9.0% 15.1% 12.7% 7.1% 3.0% 1.0%
1 6.5% 11.0% 9.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 2.4% 4.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDefensores UnidosNueva Chicago
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack30%20%
Defense10%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Defensores Unidos Nueva Chicago
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins7%13%10%38%20%29%
Draws40%25%32%31%33%32%
Loses53%63%58%31%47%39%

Form: Defensores Unidos: WLDDLLLDLLDDLDLLLLLDLLDWDDLLWLL • Nueva Chicago: LLDWDLLWDLDWLLDLWDWDWWDWLLDLDLW

League goals

Metric Defensores Unidos Nueva Chicago
HATHAT
GF total10717141226
GF avg0.70.40.50.90.80.8
GA total213051131730
GA avg1.41.91.60.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDefensores UnidosNueva Chicago
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.542%84%68%61%
1.510%55%16%32%
2.53%23%0%3%
3.50%3%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDefensores UnidosNueva Chicago
HATHAT
Clean sheets2358412
Failed to score810185510

Penalties

MetricDefensores UnidosNueva Chicago
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricDefensores UnidosNueva Chicago
Wins12
Draws21
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-12-01-2
Biggest losses0-34-01-32-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricDefensores UnidosNueva Chicago
Form38%63%
Att60%40%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h15%85%
Goals14%86%
Total31.3%68.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nueva Chicago and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ William Hill
Draw2.89 @ Pinnacle
Away2.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.20 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.36 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.48 @ Unibet
No1.53 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Defensores Unidos = 0.73 (league 1.06), Nueva Chicago = 1.68 (league 0.67)

Nueva Chicago
0 1 2 3 4 5
Defensores Unidos 0 9.0% 15.1% 12.7% 7.1% 3.0% 1.0%
1 6.5% 11.0% 9.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
2 2.4% 4.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.9% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 59.5%

Vtot 3 , Vtod3