Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.06) 0.74 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.9% 42.3% 39.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.2%
0 - 1
23.7%
1 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Moron
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colon Santa Fe 0 32.2% 23.7% 8.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.8% 9.4% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricColon Santa FeDeportivo Moron
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack10%40%
Defense40%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

44%
FT probability

2.5+

31%
FT probability

3.5+

22%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Colon Santa Fe Deportivo Moron
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins33%19%26%63%27%45%
Draws20%6%13%25%47%35%
Loses47%75%61%13%27%19%

Form: Colon Santa Fe: DWWWLWDLLLLLLWDWLLLLLWWLLLLDLLL • Deportivo Moron: DWLDLDDWLWWWWDDWWWDDDWLDWLWWDWL

League goals

Metric Colon Santa Fe Deportivo Moron
HATHAT
GF total91221221032
GF avg0.60.80.71.40.71.0
GA total11273881018
GA avg0.71.71.20.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineColon Santa FeDeportivo Moron
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%77%68%52%
1.516%32%26%6%
2.53%10%6%0%
3.53%3%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricColon Santa FeDeportivo Moron
HATHAT
Clean sheets5279615
Failed to score98173710

Penalties

MetricColon Santa FeDeportivo Moron
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricColon Santa FeDeportivo Moron
Wins34
Draws13
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-44-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-00-22-1
Goals For2442
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricColon Santa FeDeportivo Moron
Form9%91%
Att20%80%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h64%36%
Goals67%33%
Total36.5%63.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Deportivo Moron and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.99 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.36 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.49 @ 188Bet
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Colon Santa Fe = 0.40 (league 1.06), Deportivo Moron = 0.74 (league 0.67)

Deportivo Moron
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colon Santa Fe 0 32.2% 23.7% 8.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.8% 9.4% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.9% · Draw 42.3% · Away win 39.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1