Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 17:30 • Estadio República de Mataderos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.06) 1.20 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.8% 27.7% 36.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 1
11.0%
1 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Agropecuario
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nueva Chicago 0 9.2% 11.0% 6.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.9% 13.1% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.8% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.6% 3.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNueva ChicagoAgropecuario
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack29%100%
Defense43%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nueva Chicago Agropecuario
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins38%19%28%69%19%44%
Draws31%38%34%19%38%28%
Loses31%44%38%13%44%28%

Form: Nueva Chicago: LLDWDLLWDLDWLLDLWDWDWWDWLLDLDLWD • Agropecuario: LDWLWLWLWLWDWLDWDLDDWDLLDWWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Nueva Chicago Agropecuario
HATHAT
GF total141226251641
GF avg0.90.80.81.61.01.3
GA total131730102333
GA avg0.81.10.90.61.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNueva ChicagoAgropecuario
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%59%78%66%
1.516%31%41%25%
2.50%3%9%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNueva ChicagoAgropecuario
HATHAT
Clean sheets85137411
Failed to score5611257

Penalties

MetricNueva ChicagoAgropecuario
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricNueva ChicagoAgropecuario
Wins22
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-00-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-23-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricNueva ChicagoAgropecuario
Form28%72%
Att17%83%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total30.2%69.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Agropecuario and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Unibet
Away2.45 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.47 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ 188Bet
No1.60 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nueva Chicago = 1.19 (league 1.06), Agropecuario = 1.20 (league 0.67)

Agropecuario
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nueva Chicago 0 9.2% 11.0% 6.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.9% 13.1% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.8% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.6% 3.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 36.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1