Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 19:30 • Estadio Juan Pasquale
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.06) 0.42 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.9% 37.6% 16.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.5%
1 - 0
24.0%
0 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Central Norte
0 1 2 3 4 5
Defensores De Belgrano 0 26.5% 11.1% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 10.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.9% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDefensores De BelgranoCentral Norte
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack60%40%
Defense70%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Defensores De Belgrano Central Norte
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins31%38%34%44%19%31%
Draws44%31%38%19%19%19%
Loses25%31%28%38%63%50%

Form: Defensores De Belgrano: DDWWDDDLWWDWWLLLDLDWLDLLDLWDWWDW • Central Norte: WLDDWLLLWDLLLLLWLWDWWLLWLDDWLLLW

League goals

Metric Defensores De Belgrano Central Norte
HATHAT
GF total12162820626
GF avg0.81.00.91.30.40.8
GA total111425181937
GA avg0.70.90.81.11.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDefensores De BelgranoCentral Norte
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%59%53%69%
1.522%19%22%31%
2.56%0%6%9%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDefensores De BelgranoCentral Norte
HATHAT
Clean sheets85135510
Failed to score761341115

Penalties

MetricDefensores De BelgranoCentral Norte
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricDefensores De BelgranoCentral Norte
Wins22
Draws32
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-24-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against2244

Model comparison

MetricDefensores De BelgranoCentral Norte
Form65%35%
Att60%40%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total59.4%40.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Defensores De Belgrano or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ Unibet
Draw2.96 @ Pinnacle
Away5.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.37 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Betfair
No1.50 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Defensores De Belgrano = 0.91 (league 1.06), Central Norte = 0.42 (league 0.67)

Central Norte
0 1 2 3 4 5
Defensores De Belgrano 0 26.5% 11.1% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 10.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.9% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.9% · Draw 37.6% · Away win 16.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1