Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 00:00 •
Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.06)
0.60 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.2% | 28.7% | 16.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 0
14.6%
2 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico Mitre | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportivo Moron | 0 | 14.6% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.4% | 11.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.8% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Deportivo Moron | Atletico Mitre |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 30% | 80% |
| Defense | 80% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Deportivo Moron | Atletico Mitre | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 63% | 25% | 44% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
| Draws | 25% | 50% | 38% | 38% | 19% | 28% |
| Loses | 13% | 25% | 19% | 31% | 50% | 41% |
Form: Deportivo Moron: DWLDLDDWLWWWWDDWWWDDDWLDWLWWDWLD • Atletico Mitre: LLLLWWWDDWDDLDDLWWDWLWLLLDLWDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Deportivo Moron | Atletico Mitre | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 10 | 32 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Deportivo Moron | Atletico Mitre | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 50% | 50% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 6% | 25% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Deportivo Moron | Atletico Mitre | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 7 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
Penalties
| Metric | Deportivo Moron | Atletico Mitre |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Deportivo Moron | Atletico Mitre |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Deportivo Moron | Atletico Mitre |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Deportivo Moron or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Moron = 1.32 (league 1.06), Atletico Mitre = 0.60 (league 0.67)
| Atletico Mitre | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportivo Moron | 0 | 14.6% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.4% | 11.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.8% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.2% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 16.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1