Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Don León Kolbovski
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.06) 0.42 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.0% 26.2% 10.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.4%
2 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Maipu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlanta 0 15.4% 6.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.4% 9.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 6.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.9% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlantaDeportivo Maipu
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack57%71%
Defense14%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlanta Deportivo Maipu
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins75%12%42%41%25%33%
Draws19%59%39%35%38%36%
Loses6%29%18%24%38%30%

Form: Atlanta: WDDDWWDWDWWDLWDWWDLDWLLWLDDWDWLWD • Deportivo Maipu: WWLWLDDLDWLDWDDWLDDLWWLDWLLDWDDWL

League goals

Metric Atlanta Deportivo Maipu
HATHAT
GF total23831201131
GF avg1.40.50.91.20.70.9
GA total71825131730
GA avg0.41.10.80.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlantaDeportivo Maipu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%45%67%70%
1.521%21%21%18%
2.56%6%6%3%
3.53%3%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlantaDeportivo Maipu
HATHAT
Clean sheets108185510
Failed to score210124711

Penalties

MetricAtlantaDeportivo Maipu
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricAtlantaDeportivo Maipu
Wins22
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-13-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-01-23-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricAtlantaDeportivo Maipu
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total45.8%54.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Deportivo Maipu and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away2.45 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.11 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.38 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.56 @ 188Bet
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlanta = 1.45 (league 1.06), Deportivo Maipu = 0.42 (league 0.67)

Deportivo Maipu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlanta 0 15.4% 6.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.4% 9.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 6.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.9% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.0% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 10.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1