Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.06) 0.53 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 33.6% 18.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.7%
0 - 0
20.5%
2 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Tristan Suarez
0 1 2 3 4 5
Quilmes 0 20.5% 10.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.7% 11.4% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQuilmesTristan Suarez
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack43%100%
Defense43%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Quilmes Tristan Suarez
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins44%6%24%47%19%33%
Draws44%41%42%53%44%48%
Loses13%53%33%0%38%18%

Form: Quilmes: DLDDWWWLWWDLLDDLDLDDWLLWLLWDDDLDD • Tristan Suarez: LWDWWDLDDDWWWLDDDDWDLDDWWLDDWDDLW

League goals

Metric Quilmes Tristan Suarez
HATHAT
GF total2283024832
GF avg1.40.50.91.40.51.0
GA total112031111223
GA avg0.71.20.90.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQuilmesTristan Suarez
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%64%58%55%
1.527%27%30%15%
2.59%3%6%0%
3.50%0%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQuilmesTristan Suarez
HATHAT
Clean sheets75128715
Failed to score411155914

Penalties

MetricQuilmesTristan Suarez
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricQuilmesTristan Suarez
Wins33
Draws34
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-14-10-2
Biggest losses1-23-1—2-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricQuilmesTristan Suarez
Form33%67%
Att27%73%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h62%38%
Goals73%27%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Quilmes or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.97 @ Pinnacle
Away2.39 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.39 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ Unibet
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Quilmes = 1.06 (league 1.06), Tristan Suarez = 0.53 (league 0.67)

Tristan Suarez
0 1 2 3 4 5
Quilmes 0 20.5% 10.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.7% 11.4% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 33.6% · Away win 18.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1