Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Tres de Febrero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.06) 0.54 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.7% 38.1% 22.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.3%
1 - 0
21.1%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Club Atlético Güemes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almagro 0 25.3% 13.7% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.1% 11.4% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.8% 4.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmagroClub Atlético Güemes
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack43%43%
Defense29%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almagro Club Atlético Güemes
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins38%6%21%41%0%21%
Draws38%47%42%41%56%48%
Loses25%47%36%18%44%30%

Form: Almagro: DLLLWDWDDLDWWWDWDDLLLLDLWLDDDDLLD • Club Atlético Güemes: DDLDLLDLDLWLWDDDDDDWWDDDLDLLWLWDW

League goals

Metric Almagro Club Atlético Güemes
HATHAT
GF total12122418927
GF avg0.80.70.71.10.60.8
GA total92130141832
GA avg0.61.20.90.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmagroClub Atlético Güemes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%70%70%73%
1.512%18%12%18%
2.53%3%0%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmagroClub Atlético Güemes
HATHAT
Clean sheets8210639
Failed to score86142810

Penalties

MetricAlmagroClub Atlético Güemes
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricAlmagroClub Atlético Güemes
Wins32
Draws46
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-12-0
Biggest losses0-13-11-33-1
Goals For3222
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricAlmagroClub Atlético Güemes
Form23%77%
Att50%50%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total42.2%57.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Club Atlético Güemes and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.69 @ 188Bet
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away7.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.43 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.25 @ Bet365
No1.40 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Almagro = 0.83 (league 1.06), Club Atlético Güemes = 0.54 (league 0.67)

Club Atlético Güemes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almagro 0 25.3% 13.7% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.1% 11.4% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.8% 4.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.7% · Draw 38.1% · Away win 22.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1