Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.06) 0.60 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.2% 37.4% 24.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.9%
1 - 0
19.9%
0 - 1
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Patronato
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ferro Carril Oeste 0 23.9% 14.3% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 11.9% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.3% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFerro Carril OestePatronato
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack57%14%
Defense57%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ferro Carril Oeste Patronato
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins31%24%27%53%19%36%
Draws50%18%33%35%38%36%
Loses19%59%39%12%44%27%

Form: Ferro Carril Oeste: DLDWWLDWWLLLWLDWLDLDDLDLDLWLDDLWW • Patronato: WDLLDDDLWWLDWDWLWDDWWLWLWLWDDLWDD

League goals

Metric Ferro Carril Oeste Patronato
HATHAT
GF total12921181230
GF avg0.80.50.61.10.80.9
GA total8243271825
GA avg0.51.41.00.41.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFerro Carril OestePatronato
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%58%61%55%
1.515%27%18%18%
2.50%9%12%3%
3.50%3%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFerro Carril OestePatronato
HATHAT
Clean sheets1041411415
Failed to score89177613

Penalties

MetricFerro Carril OestePatronato
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricFerro Carril OestePatronato
Wins22
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-01-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-13-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricFerro Carril OestePatronato
Form57%43%
Att80%20%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total49.8%50.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Patronato and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.95 @ Unibet
Away2.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.90 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.43 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.46 @ 188Bet
No1.60 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ferro Carril Oeste = 0.83 (league 1.06), Patronato = 0.60 (league 0.67)

Patronato
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ferro Carril Oeste 0 23.9% 14.3% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 11.9% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.3% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.2% · Draw 37.4% · Away win 24.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1