Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Aurinegro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.06) 1.16 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.7% 31.2% 47.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.4%
0 - 0
15.9%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
CA Estudiantes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Mitre 0 15.9% 18.4% 10.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.8% 12.5% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 3.7% 4.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico MitreCA Estudiantes
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack38%77%
Defense38%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Mitre CA Estudiantes
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins31%29%30%59%44%52%
Draws38%18%27%18%25%21%
Loses31%53%42%24%31%27%

Form: Atletico Mitre: LLLLWWWDDWDDLDDLWWDWLWLLLDLWDLLWL • CA Estudiantes: WWDDWWLLLWWLLDDWDLWLLDWWWWLWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Atletico Mitre CA Estudiantes
HATHAT
GF total151227231740
GF avg0.90.70.81.41.11.2
GA total11193091221
GA avg0.71.10.90.50.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico MitreCA Estudiantes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%58%70%48%
1.524%30%33%15%
2.59%3%12%0%
3.50%0%3%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico MitreCA Estudiantes
HATHAT
Clean sheets861411617
Failed to score710176410

Penalties

MetricAtletico MitreCA Estudiantes
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricAtletico MitreCA Estudiantes
Wins34
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-35-20-3
Biggest losses0-23-00-22-1
Goals For3353
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricAtletico MitreCA Estudiantes
Form24%76%
Att33%67%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h60%40%
Goals46%54%
Total36.8%63.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CA Estudiantes

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.08 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.15 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.36 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ Bet365
No1.52 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Mitre = 0.68 (league 1.06), CA Estudiantes = 1.16 (league 0.67)

CA Estudiantes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Mitre 0 15.9% 18.4% 10.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.8% 12.5% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 3.7% 4.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.7% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 47.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1